Arguably the biggest names to come off the free agent hitters list includes Carlos Santana, Mitch Moreland, and Yonder Alonso. There are still huge names on the board still like: J.D Martinez, Lorenzo Cain, Eric Hosmer, Mike Moustakas, and Jay Bruce to names a few. There are plenty more even after that. The only area of free agency that has made some movement is the reliever market. This is a new era of baseball as we saw the last couple postseasons with how talented the bullpen is with teams. The question I ask how bad this market has been for players is what happens next off-season when a big-time player like Bryce Harper becomes a free agent? Nationals rumors have speculated that Harper could get upwards of $400 million. If the 2019 free agency plays out like this, is that possible?
Personally, my predator baseball 10-year projections have Bryce Harper worth $435 million.
The fact that he will be entering his age 26 season next off-season, I can see him getting a 10-year contract with a big spending team. As you can see, he does not start regressing by my model until his age 31 season and does not seriously start regressing until age 33/34 seasons which is a decade from now.
Outfielder J.D. Martinez reportedly has a five-year contract offer from the Boston Red Sox on the table. Martinez apparently wants a better offer than that, however. The Red Sox won’t give Martinez a seven-year, $210 million contract and aren’t about to start bidding against themselves. They are the favorites to land Martinez but reported there was a “staring contest” between the slugger’s agent, Scott Boras, and Boston’s front office. That staring contest almost assuredly comes down to the length of the contract offer. There’s little question, however, that Martinez remains arguably the top hitter on the market. The 30-year-old had a huge 2017, hitting .303 with 45 homers and 104 RBI. He also scored 85 runs in just 119 games between the Detroit Tigers and Arizona Diamondbacks. He thrived after being traded to Arizona on July 18, blasting 29 dingers and 65 RBI in just 62 contests, helping propel to the team to its first postseason appearance since 2011.
The Cubs and Cardinals are “showing the most interest” in possibly signing top free-agent starter Jake Arrieta. These two clubs are the latest clubs to look into signing Arrieta, with the Cubs having “a renewed interest in bringing back” the 31-year-old righty, who was their ace for four of the last five seasons. The Blue Jays, Brewers, Nationals, Phillies, Rangers and Rockies have also been linked to Arrieta. Arrieta is coming off a 2017 campaign in which he went 14-10 with a 3.53 ERA in 30 starts. Arrieta is three seasons removed from winning the NL Cy Young Award after a 22-6 campaign with a 1.77 ERA and is two years removed from an All-Star year in which he also helped the Cubs win the World Series. In parts of five years with Chicago, Arrieta has gone 68-31 with a 2.73 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP and a 19.9 WAR in 128 starts. Arrieta, who made $15.6 million last year with the Cubs after they avoided arbitration, has been eyeing a deal around $200 million.
The Brewers are looking at signing free-agent starter Alex Cobb. A source told that the Brewers and Cobb’s representatives “have been in touch recently”. Cobb, a 30-year-old righty, is coming off a season for the Rays in which he posted a 12-10 record with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in 179 1⁄3 innings pitched — a career-high for him — across 29 starts. It was his first full campaign since 2014 after not having pitched a lot over the last two years. After having a 2013 season in which he went 11-3 with a 2.76 in 22 starts and a 2014 campaign in which he went 10-9 with a 2.87 ERA in 27 starts, Cobb never got to pitch in 2015 after he tore his UCL and had Tommy John surgery. Last season, he returned late in the year and went 1-2 with a 8.59 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP in 22 innings. So far, the Brewers have added Jhoulys Chadin and Yovani Gallardo to their staff this offseason. But, adding Cobb would give them a frontline starter to help them compete for a postseason spot after being eliminated from playoff contention in game No. 161 last year.